At least put a disclaimer for the ad for this site, and maybe disclose how you came up with a total ordering for "top" open problems (vibes)?

> How problems are ranked. LLMs compare pairs of problems. A reliability-weighted model combines those judgments into the ranking, with calibration across model families. The model-family weights are OpenAI 1.00, Claude 1.00, GLM 0.95, and DeepSeek 0.90. These are modeling choices, not measured probabilities of correctness.

  +----------------------------------------------------+------+---------+-----------------+
  | Category                                           | Full | Partial | Matched / total |
  +----------------------------------------------------+------+---------+-----------------+
  | Geometry and topology                              |   25 |       7 |         32 / 74 |
  | Algebra, representation and category theory        |   17 |       2 |         19 / 53 |
  | Analysis and PDE                                   |   11 |       6 |         17 / 40 |
  | Number theory and arithmetic geometry              |    4 |      13 |        17 / 117 |
  | Probability, ergodic theory and dynamics           |   11 |       5 |         16 / 37 |
  | Combinatorics and discrete geometry                |    7 |       2 |          9 / 34 |
  | Theoretical computer science                       |    4 |       4 |          8 / 57 |
  | Mathematical physics                               |    5 |       1 |          6 / 19 |
  | Applied and computational mathematics              |    2 |       2 |           4 / 8 |
  | Quantum information and computation                |    2 |       1 |          3 / 17 |
  | Cryptography, coding, information and optimization |    1 |       1 |          2 / 26 |
  | Logic, foundations and set theory                  |    1 |       1 |          2 / 18 |
  +----------------------------------------------------+------+---------+-----------------+
  | Total                                              |   90 |      45 | 135 / 500 (27%) |
  +----------------------------------------------------+------+---------+-----------------+

Discussed here:

To grieve, or not to grieve? - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49919676 - Oct 2026 (156 comments)

I am now very interested in the explicit calculation of Hamiltonian cycles in the non-bipartite case, and/or the calculation of their absence. If P=NP I think that's going to be a great route of attack.

I'm sure all of these super small or large constants will improve over time, but it's still amusing. It is entertaining to see the exponents directly rather than have them hidden as n^c or epsilon or O(1).

[1]: https://github.com/openai/math/blob/main/preprints/Determini...

> A Unique Games instance has a finite vertex set, a finite alphabet K, and a nonempty list of oriented constraints e = (u_e,v_e,π_e), where π_e is a permutation of K. A labeling a satisfies e when a(v_e) = π_e(a(u_e)).

I'm sorry, what? I admit it's been quite a few years since I've thought about the Unique Games Conjecture, and I never dug that deeply, but this part is very, very elementary graph theory and notation. So let's unpack it.

1. e is maybe a name of a list.

2. The elements of that list are tuples, where each tuple is (a vertex, a vertex, a permutation). So e indexes into the list and u_e is the source vertex for the e-th constraint in the list called e. Thanks.

3. a is a labeling. I'm fairly confident that, by "a labeling", they mean that e is a function from vertices to colors, where the colors are the elements of k.

4. That vertex coloring a satisfies the list e, when, for, um, an index e into e, a(v_e) = π_e(a(u_e)). But this isn't for all e, it's for some e, and the goal is to count them.

So maybe e isn't a list? Maybe e is a constraint that is represented as a tuple, so e = (u_e,v_e,π_e) and u, v, and π aren't sequences at all but are, in fact, the trivial unpacking functions that unpack the pieces of the tuple.

Reading this stuff is pointlessly painful, and it's extremely easy to make mistakes when being sloppy like this.

If this were my paper, or if I were trying to train a model to write math, I'd want something like:

A Unique Games instance has a finite vertex set V, a finite edge set E = (V × V), a finite alphabet K of possible vertex colors, and a nonempty list of oriented constraints. Let Π be the set of permutations of V. Each constraint e is a tuple in E × E × Π, where we write u_e ∈ E for the first element, v_e ∈ E for the second element and π_e ∈ Π for the third.

A vertex coloring a : V → K satisfies e when a(v_e) = π_e(a(u_e)).

Not that I could ever "compete" on the frontier of math in the first place. But our nature to compete derives from our need to survive against other capable forces. And results like these make me feel very nervous about humans' capability to remain the dominant force in the universe.

Interesting that its only an excerpt. I wonder what else they include but didn't share.

No idea what it's so excited about, but it's cute that it "is." I for one welcome having access to a math buddy 24/7 that's way above my level but also always "willing" to talk at where I'm at.

'Doom' to me means that any career crashes, we are controlled, everything is hacked, society stops functioning. Yet every part of my day today (except for coding) was done entirely by people.

Finally I think it's easy to make a simple model that everyone has a simple balance sheet, and that people are more expensive so they will all get cut. But the same argument could be made for all US jobs being outsourced, and all in-person engineers, lawyers, and doctors to be rubber stamps for overseas work.

Before I cope, I’ll note that there are plenty of “doom” scenarios that do not require any improvement in capabilities from what we had before this latest unreleased model. We’re at the point where a determined bad actor with enough compute could compromise critical infrastructure in a way that results in casualties, where this actor would not have been capable of such without LLMs. This may not sound like Skynet, but I don’t see why it makes a difference if I’m one of the casualties.

With that in mind, here is the cope: first, mathematics is an inherently verifiable domain. An LLM can use tools to determine with absolute certainty whether it is correct, and an independent third-party could review and confirm. All of this can be done without any interaction with the physical world or with other minds.

Second, OpenAI is able to marshal compute at a scale that an individual mathematician can only dream of. It’s possible that these problems were lower-hanging fruit (in relative terms), such that they could be resolved simply by throwing a ton of compute at the problem guided by an intelligence that is not itself remarkable in comparison to a human.

Third, none of these problems are solved in a vacuum - the reason OpenAI chose these problems is that they are widely discussed and many people are working on them. It’s possible that someone else was close, and OpenAI only contributed the finishing touches. (This wouldn’t need to be plagiarism, to be clear - people publish their work!)

Superhuman tenacity is not enough on its own to pose an existential threat. If it showed the same capacity for judgment, inventiveness, and decision making in the messy problem space of the physical world, I would be more alarmed. There have been experiments where an AI is given control of managing something like a vending machine and it always ends up a mess. AI has come a long way, but certain problems seem as difficult as ever.

When AI becomes more capable of navigating practical problems without human intervention, I will start to be concerned. Enslaving humanity will involve taking a lot of calculated risks that tenacity alone cannot solve.

In looking at this over the past hour, I haven't seen clear evidence one way or the other. Some of the stuff is highly unexpected (like the multiplication algorithm), but counterexample-y, and about the rest the professional mathematicians online seem to have a consensus that it's not "breaking through fundamental obstacles". I suspect neither of us is competent to judge that.

If doom is ending up with grey goo / paperclip maximizers, or SkyNet, then I don't think doing mathematics is evidence of that direction. Partly because LLMs are quite apparently dumb in many ways, and for math specifically, they need a formal verifier (Lean) which "gamifies" math.

If you mean bioweapons or cyberwarfare, there's nonzero risk, but not orders of magnitude worse than other global risks. Climate change, nuclear weapons, monoculture food, etc.

I'm far more concerned about overall trends in AI development and usage. It's accelerating wealth inequality, social isolation, attention capture, surveillance states. If we end up in the Matrix except the admins are humans and the simulation is hyperoptimized TikTok, is that AI-driven doom, or is it just an inevitable outcome of modern tech?

Or is it simply that you feel bad for Mathematicians.

[0] https://dank.systems/posts/2026-09-15-ai-bear.html

[1] https://gowers.wordpress.com/2026/08/12/what-sort-of-maths-a...

Well isn't that just semantics? Surely connecting dots in a novel and meaningful way is intelligence regardless of how it's achieved. The thing is that humans didn't get to where we are by connecting obvious dots. Go back to before humans had invented language and when bleeding edge tech was literally that - 'poke him with the pointy end.' Train an LLM on that corpus of knowledge. Even given infinite processing power and infinite time - it's not going to discover the secrets of the atom, put a man on the Moon, or do much of anything besides remix what we'd already done at the time.

I expect there's still much LLMs can achieve simply because of this initial problem. But I expect that they will ultimately start to plateau once these dots have been mostly matched and we reach a point where 'creation' again becomes the missing link. Though even there LLMs will play a major role as tools. For instance Einstein had to spend a significant amount of time in 'retrieval' rather than 'creation' research to develop the field equations for general relativity. If he had access to LLMs trained on all knowledge of the day, he could likely have achieved his goal much more quickly.

So in other words, since deep learning is algorithmic research, we are now in the RSI era.

a) destroy chess and make it a pointless endeavour,

or

b) make humans much better at chess.

Why do you think the world to date hasn't been taken over by evil genius mathematicians? Can you extrapolate from your understanding of the answer to that question?

So basically I think that the future is getting pretty weird because we are building really powerful tools, though these tools are precisely what allows us to prosper in that future.

There will be a lot of job loss unquestionably, in the same way that automation reduced manufacturing jobs and farm payrolls.

At the same time we have to put what AI can do in perspective.

Intelligence is a broad grouping that includes concepts such as knowledge, skill, experience, and wisdom.

AI has incredible knowledge and in many areas approximates experience and wisdom.

But wisdom is harder to formalize than knowledge and skill.

For example certifying a college education relies mostly on the ease with which we can verify/test knowledge.

To some extent advanced degrees try to certify maybe wisdom and experience.

In my very personal opinion, wisdom and life experience should give humans an edge for a while to come.

Additionally, I do feel that the more an individual lacks better than average wisdom and experience, the harder it will be for that person to compete with AI.

Also, on the bright side, the average human will continue to prefer to interact with a fellow human in many spheres. That will also act as an upper bound on AI and robots taking every job.

Either way, I do think this transition will be painful. I don't feel it has to be apocalyptic.

But the world has been an especially volatile place over the last 10 years.

So when you add that existing volatility, to the upheaval from the AI transition, it would not surprise me if the transition results in violence.

But, without the pre-existing volatility, and if humans were capable of generosity and love at scale, I see no reason AI can not be absorbed into society with net gain.

I guess to summarize, I feel this tech should be a net gain and to the extent that it isn't, it will be because of flaws deep inside of humanity itself, not because it had to end in chaos.

In other words, I feel fear, greed, anxiety, and competition -- all our base instincts coming from all sides, will be what determine the end result of AI moreso than AI taking everyone's job.

I have a hard time taking statements from OpenAI about their own product, that they are trying to sell to people and make money, seriously. I take these statements as they are greatly exaggerated or even straight up lies and propaganda.

That said, I think results like these are mostly annoying more then anything. They spent a lot of money, used up gigartiuan amount of compute, to ruin a puzzle that mathematicians were tackling. I am mostly unsurprised that if you spend a trillion times the energy that a team of mathematicians would, that you get maybe 1.5 times the results. I see a future where that 1.5 times the results may go to 3x but not much more. And if that, then I will be more annoyed.

LMAO, I don't think I ever saw such a small number in a CS result.

Can we get a number in Blackwell GPU-hours, kWh, or some other compute-scaled metric?

We cannot have them rushing to publish amidst tons of confusion, rumors of threats/scooping and outright plagiarism of existing work (by failing to cite said work).

If they're going to participate as scientists in these more rigorous fields, they're going to have to match that level of rigor, not lower it to the disastrous low that ML research publication is at.

There's no gatekeeping here!

Very hard question.

Your work makes you one of the very few people who really understands the problem and solution and its significance.

Precisely what all NLP researchers and the ML community at large did in the last few years: embrace the frontier and realize that attention is all you need.

I guess the only answer is to adapt with the tools. If we can't do that, then yeah, we're in trouble.

I did get my PhD...before AI. And my honest advice (to myself back then, even) would be: quit the PhD, become an electrician, and work hard to buy a tiny house in the middle of nowhere to watch the world burn in this madness.

Assume the empty list you see is complete. :)

1: Author 2: Verifier

/s

This is just a short term problem though. Eventually AI will get pretty good at figuring out exactly I want and it will build that from the start. The requirement of me reviewing the AI output only lasts as long as models stay bad at anticipating my needs, which I don't think will take too much longer.

I guess their job now is "Idea Man" and "Error Checker"? Kinda like (some/many) "programmers" these days.

> At present, some frontier AI labs are testing advanced mathematical problems on proprietary models that remain inaccessible to the broader scientific community. Our recommendations are formulated with this practical context in mind. However, ideally, they would not do so. We want to state clearly from the start: we do not endorse this practice, and we ask them to stop testing advanced mathematical problems on proprietary models.

To me, the issue is that the models are proprietary which are only accessible to a few people in 2 digits. It's not about progress but access.

How this maps back to math, idk.

> "I believe that AI can contribute positively in all of these directions [NB: exposition, community building, new directions of study]"

https://mathstodon.xyz/@tao/117395269325940185

https://hub.valency.io/works

> Some of the unformalized results could have issues. We will endeavor to fix any such issues quickly. We are also exploring community-hosted repositories for these materials.

I’m skeptical!